AI × QuantarXiv q-finSIGNAL 796033

Certifying Reward Alignment in Portfolio Reinforcement Learning

This study proposes a decision audit method to separate reward misspecification from learning error, quantifying whether a learned decision truly implements its stated financial objective rather than merely optimizing a reward value.

01 ABSTRACT

In financial reinforcement learning, an agent may accurately optimize an additive risk-adjusted reward yet implement a different financial preference. The authors develop a decision audit for terminal mean-variance equilibrium that bounds the gain from changing one action using actor, reward, and continuation-critic residuals. Experiments show the method reduces policy distance and one-step deviation gain, but joint reward calibration does not improve realized investment performance.

02 KEY FINDINGS

  1. A certificate is proposed that bounds the gain from changing one action using actor, reward, and continuation-critic residuals, ignoring state-constant critic offsets and accommodating convex action constraints.
  2. Across nine controlled markets and twenty seeds, a continuation-aware actor-critic method reduces policy distance and one-step deviation gain.
  3. In backtests over 432 months with seven covariance estimators and 10, 30, and 49 US industry portfolios, joint reward calibration preserves fitted mean-variance targets but does not improve realized investment performance.
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