Quantitative ResearchPPR-01
Multi-period Mean-Expectile Portfolio Optimization under Wasserstein Ambiguity: Reformulation, Degeneracy and the Ground Metric
This paper addresses the lack of a Rockafellar-Uryasev representation for expectiles under Wasserstein ambiguity sets by developing an envelope theorem for worst-case expectiles. It characterizes the worst-case expectile as the unique root of a worst-case expectation with a two-piece affine integrand, enabling direct application of standard Wasserstein duality. Using this result, a multi-period tri-level mean-expectile portfolio problem is reformulated as four parametric line
#expectiles#Wasserstein ambiguity set#distributionally robust optimization
AI × QuantPPR-02
Ranking Prior Alignment: A Model-Agnostic External Regularization Framework for Cold-Start Credit Risk Modeling
This study proposes Ranking Prior Alignment, a framework that distills external ranking priors (from domain experts, teacher models, or LLMs) into any scoring model via a temperature-scaled KL divergence loss to mitigate scarce labels, weak features, and minimal capacity in cold-start credit scoring. Its novelty lies in being model-agnostic and requiring no external model at inference, and it identifies an inverse-scaling pattern where benefits grow as data abundance, model c
#credit risk#cold start#ranking prior
AI × QuantPPR-03
LLM-Guided Blockwise Feature Engineering Turns Long Text into Executable Feature Programs
This work proposes LLM-BlockFE, a framework that offline-converts long text into executable feature programs so that online inference does not require LLM calls. Its value lies in using long-text information while supporting industrial risk-control deployment, with AUC improvements reported on public and private datasets.
#large language models#automated feature engineering#program search
AI × QuantPPR-04
Large-Scale Benchmarking of Quantum Neural Network Configurations for Financial Time Series Forecasting
This study systematically benchmarks quantum neural network (QNN) component configurations for financial time series forecasting. Its novelty lies in extending QNN configuration grid search from classification to regression, using the GBP/USD exchange rate as a case study with 1,368 configurations. It provides practical architectural guidance and quantifies the impact of real quantum hardware noise on predictive performance.
#Quantum Neural Networks#Financial Time Series Forecasting#Benchmarking
金融研究PPR-05
Deep Reinforcement Learning for Optimal Trading with Partial Information
This study formulates an optimal trading problem where the trading signal follows an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with regime-switching parameters, framing it as a partially observable Markov decision problem. Its novelty lies in comparing three recurrent-neural-network-plus-reinforcement-learning approaches and finding that supplying posterior regime probability estimates enhances cumulative rewards and strategy interpretability.
#deep reinforcement learning#optimal trading#partially observable Markov decision process
AI 研究PPR-06
Uncertainty-Aware Budget Allocation Improves Sampling Efficiency in LLM Reasoning
This work proposes Uncertainty-Aware Budget Allocation (UAB), which estimates difficulty from vote entropy of initial samples and reallocates a fixed generation budget toward questions with high answer disagreement. Compared with uniform allocation, UAB improves average accuracy by 2.3% and up to 5.5% on individual benchmarks across five open-weight models and five reasoning benchmarks, with the largest gains in low-resource settings and no extra model calls.
#LLM reasoning#test-time compute allocation#uncertainty estimation
AI 研究PPR-07
AI Agents Learn Their Way Up in Adversarial Game Agent Competition
This study formalizes Adversarial Heuristic Learning (AHL), where AI agents iteratively revise game strategies and supporting software while model weights stay fixed, evaluated on AAArena, a benchmark of 12 authentic adversarial games and 1,920 archived human programs. Its novelty lies in treating agents as learning engines rather than relying solely on reinforcement learning; it is useful because it shows opponent selection and dense feedback can improve policies, yet half o
#AI agents#adversarial games#heuristic learning
AI × QuantPPR-08
Multi-Horizon Price Forecasting for Second-Hand Electronics: A Systematic Benchmark of Deep Learning vs. Statistical Models
The first multi-horizon benchmark for second-hand electronics price forecasting, evaluating 11 statistical and deep learning models across six horizons from 1 to 365 days. N-BEATS outperforms statistical baselines at long horizons and a single model generalizes across horizons, offering methodological reference for subscription platform pricing.
#second-hand electronics#price forecasting#deep learning
Quantitative ResearchPPR-09
Hour-Aware Adaptive Risk Management for Autonomous Memecoin Trading on Solana DEXs: Evidence, Theory, and Design Lessons from a 15-Day Deploymen
This paper reports a 15-day paper-traded autonomous memecoin trading deployment on Solana DEXs, designed to measure three microstructure questions: time-of-day return patterns on a 24/7 venue, net contribution of decision-time filter stacks relative to counterfactual returns of rejected tokens, and structural robustness of small-sample cumulative-return statistics on a heavy-tailed venue. Its main novelty is the provision of public measurement infrastructure and a reproductio
#quantitative trading#memecoin#Solana DEX
金融研究PPR-10
OOM-RL II: Reality Is an Oracle, Not a Debugger – Provenance-Constrained Diagnosis in Continually Evolving Agent-Engineered Systems
Based on a continually evolving human-directed, agent-engineered quantitative trading system, the study distinguishes outcome evidence, evaluated-object identity, and causal explanation, arguing that external feedback constrains outcome claims while diagnosis resolution depends on provenance and additional identification structure; the proposed prospective binding protocol is not yet validated.
#quantitative trading#agent engineering#provenance diagnosis
金融研究PPR-11
RED-2400: A Public Benchmark of Algorithmically-Rejected Trading Events with Outcome Labels
This dataset publicly releases 6,660 algorithmically-rejected trading events from a live Solana decentralized-exchange filter stack, observed continuously over 22 calendar days. It includes 169,123 forward-outcome observations and 1,837 lifecycle snapshots, providing post-rejection price-and-liquidity sample series but no outcome-label column, useful for studying the relationship between filter rejection decisions and subsequent market behavior.
#quantitative finance#benchmark dataset#algorithmic trading
AI 研究PPR-12
Delphos: A reinforcement learning framework for assisting discrete choice model specification
This work formulates discrete choice model specification as a sequential decision-making problem and uses a Deep Q-Network to learn candidate model construction strategies. Its novelty lies in guiding model exploration with a customizable reward function, reducing manual trial-and-error effort and offering a testable path toward automated specification.
#discrete choice models#reinforcement learning#Deep Q-Network