金融研究arXiv q-finSIGNAL 15E61B

Enhancing Credit Risk Scorecards with Transactional Behavioural Features

ORIGINAL / Enhancing credit risk scorecards with transactional-based behavioural features

This study targets transaction narrative text, which credit risk modelling has long overlooked, and proposes an explainable method to convert it into behavioural features. Its novelty lies in using natural language processing and regular expressions to build a categorisation algorithm that maps unstructured transaction descriptions into interpretable spending categories, and in validating their incremental predictive value within a traditional scorecard framework. For quantit

01 ABSTRACT

Using transaction data from small and medium enterprises at a South African financial institution, the study applies natural language processing and regular expressions to transform unstructured transaction descriptions into interpretable spending-category behavioural features. The authors report that the new categorisation algorithm achieves high classification accuracy, and that adding these features to a credit risk scorecard significantly increases the Gini compared with a scorecard without them. The authors conclude that text-based transactional information can be systematically extracted, categorised, and operationalised to improve credit risk model performance; this conclusion reflects the authors' view based on their experimental setting and still requires external validation before deployment.

02 KEY FINDINGS

  1. The study focuses on payment narrative text in SME transaction data as an alternative data source for credit risk modelling.
  2. Methodologically, it combines natural language processing and regular expressions to develop and evaluate a structured transaction categorisation algorithm that produces explainable spending-category behavioural features.
  3. The authors report high classification accuracy for the algorithm and a significant Gini increase when these features are added to a scorecard versus a version without them.
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